In this assignment, you will use NetLogo to create an agent-based model (ABM) of a complex ob- served phenomenon: the spread of an infection (such as COVID-19) through a population. Deliver- ables include a functional NetLogo model of the system, a description of the model using the ODD protocol (Overview, Design concepts, Details), and a brief report describing an investigation con- ducted using the model.
The objectives of this assignment are to gain experience in: using NetLogo to implement an ABM; using the ODD protocol to describe an ABM; using an ABM to answer a question of scientific or policy interest.
Background
COVID-19 emerged toward the end of 2019 and spread rapidly across the world. Throughout the on- going pandemic, models have played an important role in developing insight into the dynamics of the outbreak, and informing the public health response.
For example, models have been used to explore:
- the role that asymptomatic individuals play in spreading COVID-19;
- the effectiveness of isolation, testing, quarantine and social distancing for controlling the spread of COVID-19;
- the likely impact of COVID-19 outbreaks on the health system, in terms of number of hospital and intensive-care unit beds required.Your tasksYour tasks are:
- to extend the existing NetLogo model of SIR transmission (epiDEM basic) to capture relevant aspects of COVID-19 transmission;
- to design and execute one or more experiments with your model in order to address a scien- tific or policy-relevant question;
- to write a description of your model using the ODD protocol, and a brief report of your experi- ments.
Approach
- Start by familiarising yourself with the basic SIR model in NetLogo.
- Read a couple of the recommended papers and choose a question. Keep your question simple! Note: your question does not have to be novelyou may choose a question from one of the readings.
- Determine how you need to modify the SIR model in order to answer your question: Do you need to change the disease model? Do you need to change the population structure or at- tributes?
- Decide what experiments you need to runwhich scenarios you need to comparein order to answer your question.Procedure and assessment
- This assignment is to be completed individually.
- Late submissions will incur a penalty of 2 marks for every day (or part thereof) after the dead- line. If there is a valid reason that you require an extension, email Nic well before the due date to discuss this.
- You should submit you assignment via Canvas LMS. Please upload: 1. Your NetLogo model file;2. A document containing your ODD description (max 2 pages); 3. A document containing your model report (max 2 pages).All three files should contain your name and student number.
- We encourage use of the Piazza Discussion Board to discuss and ask questions about this project; however, all submitted work must be your own individual work.
- This project counts for 20% of your total marks in this subject. Marks will be awarded accord- ing to the following criteria:
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